That's my take as well. Good summary.The Rolen of 2005 and 2007 was pitiful at the plate, totally unacceptable for a 3B. 2006 was comparable to Glaus.
Glaus has been productive when he plays. There is no real reason to believe Rolen's shoulder will ever bounce back. He may never have another productive year. a bum shoulder is seems more of a potential career killer, a bum foot is a more probably a nuisance.
Here's another thing that has to be considered. There have been some rumors that Rolen was going to sit out if we didn't trade him. I don't know if I believe them or not, but it's something that should be factored into the conversation. If the Cards suspected this or were told this, then any return for Rolen is a good return.
My philosophy all along has been get whatever quality return we could get from him. That's why I was willing to settle for Capuano. It wasn't because they were equal products on the feild, rather the combination of Rolen's angst + his debilitating shoulder injury led me to lean toward believing that Rolen would not be a signficant contirbutor to this club moving forward. I personally had little optimism that he would return to his '06 offensive levels. In fact, I think that he was experiencing a decreased bat-speed even during '06, which resulted in doubles-power instead of HR power. I think history has bore that out, considering that his power continued in a steep decline, ending with his season-ending surgery this season.
Others have said that the trade wouldn't go through if Rolen wasn't healthy. I agree. Problem is that team doctors don't measure bat speed during team physicals. Players get traded as "damaged goods" all the time. I think that Rolen might be physically healthy, more than healthy enough to pass a physical. Doesn't mean that his body will respond the way it did before surgery, or even how it did after his first surgery, or even how it did after his second surgery...
This trade minimizes risk for us. Rolen's a huge risk and a big question mark offensively for this club. Glaus is a much more established presence, and frankly, in a lineup with a lot of guys who MIGHT be productive, but very few established bats, he's a welcome addition. He's much more likely to add a stabilizing presence behind Pujols, providing a good slug + obp threat in the middle of the lineup, and allowing Ankiel and Duncan to fit into roles much better suited for their talents.
If we judge trades on how much you get for a player vs. how much you expected to get, I think that we made out well. I expected to get almost nothing good for Rolen, and we ended up getting a quality performer, with a solid history, and a good fit for our current and future needs.
I think that we also have to acknowledge that if Rolen somehow returns to his old form, this is not an even deal, and Toronto makes out better. That's the risk you take with any trade, and I don't think the difference in the two players or their salaries will be such that we regret this too much, if at all... even if Rolen returns to his '06 levels.
Good move, Mo. (..Also like that you did get a guy with a solid OBP, because I was started to worry about that.)
We'll have to get rid of Rick Ankiel while we're at it and dump TLR because he drove intoxicated. Albert's gone too, he lied about his age. I saw Molina at the mall one time and I sneezed... He didn't say bless you. 
Get him out of here.
