I got a bit obsessed over the winter and ended up building a little spreadsheet for tennis prediction — serve hold %, surface splits, recent form, head-to-heads — basically trying to do for tennis what we all do with baseball stats. The humbling part: tennis has so much match-to-match variance that a halfway-decent model barely edges out just picking the higher-ranked player. Sound familiar to anyone who's tried to predict a five-game Cards skid?
Anyway, curious if there are any tennis sickos lurking in the Other Sports board, or if it's strictly Blues/Battlehawks/golf around here. Clay season's coming up and I need someone to talk shop with.
