4/26 GDT: Mariners(Hancock) vs Cardinals(McGreevy) 1:15 PM CT

[CardsofSTL]

Mariners vs Cardinals
1:15 PM CT - April 26, 2026
Busch Stadium - St. Louis, MO
Watch: Mariners - Mariners.TV/Cardinals - Cardinals.TV
Listen: Mariners - Seattle Sports (710 AM)/1300AM/Cardinals - KMOX 1120 AM/104.1 FM, WIJR AM 880 (En Espanol)

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No roster moves as of yet; the Cardinals lineup is posted with Herrera at Catcher and Pages listed as day to day after leaving the game yesterday.

The Mariners have not yet posted their lineup.

[cardsfantx]

Crooks was in the original lineup last night, but was pulled after pages left hurt?

Crooks is having a fantastic season (.286/.405/.643 with a 1.048 OPS, eight homers already and 18 RBIs), but seems like we’ve had a ton of catchers have great offensive numbers in the minors that don’t translate to the majors, so we shall see

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Results from 10,000 Simulations

Mariners win probability: 55.1%
Cardinals win probability: 31.3%

Tie probability (regulation, before extras): 13.7%
Average projected score:
Mariners 4.5 — Cardinals 3.7

Total runs probabilities (vs. the ~8-run betting total):
Over 8 runs: 43.2%
Under 8 runs: 42.9%

Bottom line from the sim: The Mariners are clear (but not overwhelming) favorites thanks to Hancock’s strong early-season numbers and the slight edge in projected offense vs. McGreevy. Expect a competitive, relatively low-scoring game — classic pitcher-friendly afternoon baseball in St. Louis.

Cardinals hope: A stronger-than-expected day from the Cardinals offense flips the script from a comfortable Mariners lean into a near coin-flip game (or slight Cardinals edge in regulation). Seattle's pitching staff has been elite overall this year (team ERA ~3.57–3.93), so the Cardinals would still need to sustain that hot streak through the bullpen to pull it off. But variance in baseball is high — one big inning from St. Louis could decide it.

[CardsofSTL]

Crooks was in the original lineup last night, but was pulled after pages left hurt?

Crooks is having a fantastic season (.286/.405/.643 with a 1.048 OPS, eight homers already and 18 RBIs), but seems like we’ve had a ton of catchers have great offensive numbers in the minors that don’t translate to the majors, so we shall see

That's kind of why I thought we would see a roster move for Pages heading to the IL and maybe to bring up a fresh bullpen arm. But nothing yet.

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Our season is saved.