Rave: College Football is Back Baby!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[cardsfansince82]

Playing a road game against a middle of the pack BCS conference team is tougher than 90% of Boise's schedule. There are 65 teams in the 6 BCS conferences. Every single one of them plays a tougher schedule. Six conference champions and then at most 4 of those 65 teams can get a BCS bid without winning their conference. Boise has to win one big game (if that), 2 or 3 mediocre games and 8-9 cupcakes and they get a big payday and national exposure. Who's getting treated unfairly here?

The Unbeatable Odds
Season Win Likelihoods for Associated Press Top-10 Teams

Team________AP_____0-Loss Likelihood_____1-Loss Likelihood_____Other
Alabama______1_________ 6.0%_________ 21.3% _________ 72.8%
Ohio St.______2_________ 14.5%________ 33.9%_________ 51.6%
Boise St._____3 _________ 51.5%________ 36.9%__________11.6%
TCU__________4_________ 29.9%________ 41.8%__________28.3%
Oregon_______5__________ 10.3%________ 29.6%__________60.1%
Texas________6_________ 13.4%________ 34.0%__________52.6%
Oklahoma_____7_________ 7.0%_________ 23.8%__________69.2%
Nebraska_____8___________ 1.1%_________ 6.7%__________92.3%
Iowa_________9__________ 2.6%_________ 12.5%__________84.9%
Florida_______10_________ 12.3%________ 31.9%__________55.8%

[Maclowery]

The Big10 will have two great Tough Call games on October16 - Iowa at Michigan, who I think look dangerous as hell, and OSU at Wisco, which would be a popular upset pick game. Lots of "who's 2nd in the big 10" chatter will be going on after that weekend, I expect.

[phins]

Phins, glad to see that your std cleared up.

Yup. 13 year olds sometimes don't think things all the way through. That was the age I was when I picked that as a name and it was easy to remember since it was never taken anywhere I went. Wonder why?

[phins]

Sure, judge them based on who they play. That's all most of us have been wanting them to do.

As in, ding them for playing Saan Jose St and Utah St etc. Boise would never play for the national title in my world just based on who they play compared to BCS teams.

I understand that VT was the best team they'll play all season. And other than Oregon State it's pretty much the dumps, but they haven't proven they don't belong yet. They should have pitted TCU and Boise against major conference teams last year and see where they stood. Worst case? They get blown out, and you know they can't matchup.

But if you're going to judge them based on who they've played....shouldn't they be #1 right now?

Alabama just played one San Jose St, so shouldn't they get a ding? So far Boise is the only team to have beaten a Top 10 ranked team, so shouldn't they get a point for that?

I didn't judge them based on who they have played thus far, I'm judging them based on who they'll play all season. So, if they go undefeated, and another team from a BCS conference goes undefeated, they'll obviously go ahead of them.

Now, if another team highly thought of plays a tough schedule and only loses one game, I'd still take them ahead of Boise. It just isn't the same thing to play one major test, and then a bunch of cream puffs where your reserves are playing in the 3rd quarter.