jim wrote:How much "luck" (I hate that word, but I think you know what I mean) is there in soccer. When a 31 plays a 14 in baseball, nobody would be surprised in the least if the 31 ranked team beat the 14th. In soccer I assume it's less likely for "luck" to come into play?
Far less luck, I would think. After all, it wasn't "luck" that scored the US's goal. It was a serious error. You can get a lucky bounce in or touch on a corner every now and then, or a defender could slip and allow an inferior forward to score. A ball can hit a cross bar (see Altidore) or a goalie can guess right on a shot. Luck plays a part, no doubt, but you can usually only keep a good club down for so long.
It would be a real surprise, imo, if either Algeria or Slovenia beat us. A tie is possible with either team, just as it was with England. I think it was obvious that England was the better club today. Well, theoretically, it should be just as obvious or more obvious that America is better than Slovenia and Algeria.