4/24 GDT: Mariners(Kirby) vs Cardinals(Pallante) 7:15 PM CT

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ghostrunner
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Re: 4/24 GDT: Mariners(Kirby) vs Cardinals(Pallante) 7:15 PM CT

Post by ghostrunner »

CardsofSTL wrote:
April 24 26, 2:22 pm
This projects as a low-to-moderate scoring pitchers' duel tilted toward the Mariners due to Kirby's superior ERA, WHIP, and strikeout-to-walk ratio compared to Pallante. Betting markets favor Seattle (~-158 to -162 moneylineu, -1.5 run line) with a total around 8 runs, and predictive models/simulations often lean Mariners win (e.g., 53-58% implied probability, sample score projection around 5-2 or 4-3).

Key edges:

Mariners → Elite starting pitching from Kirby, timely power from Raley/Arozarena/Raleigh, and defensive strength up the middle.

Cardinals → Home-field advantage at Busch, deeper lineup production (higher team OPS in spots), and potential for multi-run innings if they capitalize on any Pallante inefficiencies or Kirby's occasional hit allowance.

Expect a tight contest where the bullpens could decide it late. The Mariners' ability to manufacture runs against Pallante (who has walked more batters) versus the Cardinals' ability to square up Kirby will be pivotal.


I swear I just read this Pallante game projects to be a pitchers’ duel.

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CardsofSTL
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Re: 4/24 GDT: Mariners(Kirby) vs Cardinals(Pallante) 7:15 PM CT

Post by CardsofSTL »

ghostrunner wrote:
April 24 26, 3:17 pm
CardsofSTL wrote:
April 24 26, 2:22 pm
This projects as a low-to-moderate scoring pitchers' duel tilted toward the Mariners due to Kirby's superior ERA, WHIP, and strikeout-to-walk ratio compared to Pallante. Betting markets favor Seattle (~-158 to -162 moneylineu, -1.5 run line) with a total around 8 runs, and predictive models/simulations often lean Mariners win (e.g., 53-58% implied probability, sample score projection around 5-2 or 4-3).

Key edges:

Mariners → Elite starting pitching from Kirby, timely power from Raley/Arozarena/Raleigh, and defensive strength up the middle.

Cardinals → Home-field advantage at Busch, deeper lineup production (higher team OPS in spots), and potential for multi-run innings if they capitalize on any Pallante inefficiencies or Kirby's occasional hit allowance.

Expect a tight contest where the bullpens could decide it late. The Mariners' ability to manufacture runs against Pallante (who has walked more batters) versus the Cardinals' ability to square up Kirby will be pivotal.


I swear I just read this Pallante game projects to be a pitchers’ duel.
It's not the A.S.S. we're used to but the A.S.S. that we have

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ghostrunner
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Re: 4/24 GDT: Mariners(Kirby) vs Cardinals(Pallante) 7:15 PM CT

Post by ghostrunner »

CardsofSTL wrote:
April 24 26, 4:37 pm
ghostrunner wrote:
April 24 26, 3:17 pm
CardsofSTL wrote:
April 24 26, 2:22 pm
This projects as a low-to-moderate scoring pitchers' duel tilted toward the Mariners due to Kirby's superior ERA, WHIP, and strikeout-to-walk ratio compared to Pallante. Betting markets favor Seattle (~-158 to -162 moneylineu, -1.5 run line) with a total around 8 runs, and predictive models/simulations often lean Mariners win (e.g., 53-58% implied probability, sample score projection around 5-2 or 4-3).

Key edges:

Mariners → Elite starting pitching from Kirby, timely power from Raley/Arozarena/Raleigh, and defensive strength up the middle.

Cardinals → Home-field advantage at Busch, deeper lineup production (higher team OPS in spots), and potential for multi-run innings if they capitalize on any Pallante inefficiencies or Kirby's occasional hit allowance.

Expect a tight contest where the bullpens could decide it late. The Mariners' ability to manufacture runs against Pallante (who has walked more batters) versus the Cardinals' ability to square up Kirby will be pivotal.


I swear I just read this Pallante game projects to be a pitchers’ duel.
It's not the A.S.S. we're used to but the A.S.S. that we have
Yes. You go to war with the A.S.S. you have.

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CardsofSTL
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Re: 4/24 GDT: Mariners(Kirby) vs Cardinals(Pallante) 7:15 PM CT

Post by CardsofSTL »

Image


Short weekend visit to Busch then back on the road beginning at Pittsburgh on Monday.

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Re: 4/24 GDT: Mariners(Kirby) vs Cardinals(Pallante) 7:15 PM CT

Post by CardsofSTL »

Lead off walk and Pallante has already ruined Brad's key to the game.

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Re: 4/24 GDT: Mariners(Kirby) vs Cardinals(Pallante) 7:15 PM CT

Post by CardsofSTL »

Pallante is the king of the non-competitive pitch

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Re: 4/24 GDT: Mariners(Kirby) vs Cardinals(Pallante) 7:15 PM CT

Post by st.lewis11 »

Because Donovan's on the IL, it could be years before a Busch return and a standing O from the fans.

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Re: 4/24 GDT: Mariners(Kirby) vs Cardinals(Pallante) 7:15 PM CT

Post by CardsofSTL »

Chip thinks giving up a lead off walk is still a clean inning. Our standards are dropping.

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Re: 4/24 GDT: Mariners(Kirby) vs Cardinals(Pallante) 7:15 PM CT

Post by CardsofSTL »

st.lewis11 wrote:
April 24 26, 6:21 pm
Because Donovan's on the IL, it could be years before a Busch return and a standing O from the fans.
If it ever happens 8-[

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Re: 4/24 GDT: Mariners(Kirby) vs Cardinals(Pallante) 7:15 PM CT

Post by Mary1966 »

st.lewis11 wrote:
April 24 26, 6:21 pm
Because Donovan's on the IL, it could be years before a Busch return and a standing O from the fans.
I’ll see Donnie in June when I go see the Red Sox play the Mariners. It would be nice if I get to see Sonny pitch as well.

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