4/17 GDT: Cardinals(Leahy) @ Astros(Lambert) 7:10 PM CT

[booger71]

Nice Win

[CardsofSTL]

Nice job by Soriano. He is ahead of Stank in the trust ring now.

[Mary1966]

Final score: St. Louis9, Houston 4. Kyle gets the win!

[Birds67]

Hello Jack!

[Donnie Ebert]

[st.lewis11]

All the NL Central teams won tonight.

[phins]

I have to say, there is no reason this roster should be 11-8 at this point. Not overall great comp thus far, but you still wouldn't expect this record.

Good variance will undoubtedly give way to poor variance, but I'm sure loving Winning > Losing.

I also wonder what it says about the manager. Is he decent? Or is it merely good fortune?

[haltz]

I have to say, there is no reason this roster should be 11-8 at this point. Not overall great comp thus far, but you still wouldn't expect this record.

Good variance will undoubtedly give way to poor variance, but I'm sure loving Winning > Losing.

I also wonder what it says about the manager. Is he decent? Or is it merely good fortune?

Run differential is pretty bad and obviously selecting endpoints you'll get a bunch of these stretches over the course of a season. Our robot overlords tell me there are 144 19-game windows to look at in a given season and this should happen 20 or 21 times to a .500 team, but it's been a really fun club to watch and those 11 wins are in the bank. Some other computer at FG thinks they have a 13% of playing a postseason game which is cool.

[phins]

I have to say, there is no reason this roster should be 11-8 at this point. Not overall great comp thus far, but you still wouldn't expect this record.

Good variance will undoubtedly give way to poor variance, but I'm sure loving Winning > Losing.

I also wonder what it says about the manager. Is he decent? Or is it merely good fortune?

Run differential is pretty bad and obviously selecting endpoints you'll get a bunch of these stretches over the course of a season. Our robot overlords tell me there are 144 19-game windows to look at in a given season and this should happen 20 or 21 times to a .500 team, but it's been a really fun club to watch and those 11 wins are in the bank. Some other computer at FG thinks they have a 13% of playing a postseason game which is cool.

Pythagorean Win Percentage (run differential you're referring to), BaseRuns (Second Order Wins), Adjusted BaseRuns (Third Order Wins) all say we suck.

The part about end points and how teams will have stretches of this record, I understand that. It's what I'm referring to with variance in my post.

All of that said, I think this roster is awful. I am pleasantly surprised with the results thus far. We aren't making the playoffs. I get all the math, I'm just enjoying the ride.

[heyzeus]

Yes, we aren’t making the playoffs (objectively, sabermetricly) but at the same time, maybe we are.